Saturday, 13 May 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 16, 27) with the draw of 10 December 2016 — its closest relative in 768 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 May 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 137 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 147. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.