Saturday, 26 November 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 22, 46) with the draw of 29 June 2022 — its closest relative in 61 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 November 2022): 11 carried over. Chance says 59% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 142 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 141. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11, 21–22. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 32% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.