Saturday, 24 June 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 4, 20) with the draw of 17 May 2023 — its closest relative in 121 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 June 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 59% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 133 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 141. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.