Saturday, 23 November 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (27, 29, 38) with the draw of 6 April 2024 — its closest relative in 269 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 November 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 59% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 181 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 141. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.