Friday, 6 October 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 4 numbers (10, 19, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 May 2022 — its closest relative in 2,411 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 84 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 72. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.