Wednesday, 5 February 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 23, 35) with the draw of 11 December 2013 — its closest relative in 398 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 February 2014): 23 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 141 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.