Wednesday, 18 July 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 5, 27, 37) with the draw of 20 July 2013 — its closest relative in 862 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 July 2018): 1, 27, 37 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 127 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.