Saturday, 10 August 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 6, 11, 40) with the draw of 10 July 2019 — its closest relative in 973 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 August 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 97 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.