Wednesday, 4 November 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (18, 22, 38) with the draw of 21 October 2020 — its closest relative in 24 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 51% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 October 2020): 38 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 172 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. No two numbers side by side. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.