Thursday, 5 July 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 16, 31, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 May 2017 — its closest relative in 358 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 4.4% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 44% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (6% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 137 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.