Thursday, 12 July 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 14, 26) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 May 2015 — its closest relative in 360 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 44% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (6% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 72 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.