Wednesday, 12 September 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 6, 19, 32) with the draw of 17 May 2012 — its closest relative in 664 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 27% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 September 2012): 6, 9 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 67 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. No two numbers side by side. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.