Thursday, 14 April 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 13, 20, 27) with the draw of 4 October 2015 — its closest relative in 1,967 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 April 2016): 1 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 69 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. No two numbers side by side. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.