Tuesday, 14 November 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 17, 32, 33) with the draw of 31 December 2010 — its closest relative in 2,431 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 November 2017): 1 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 94 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.