Thursday, 16 November 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 12, 20, 31) with the draw of 16 June 2017 — its closest relative in 2,433 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 November 2017): 12 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 100 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. No two numbers side by side. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.