Tuesday, 22 May 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 25, 28) with the draw of 8 October 2017 — its closest relative in 2,505 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 May 2018): 10 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 100 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.