Wednesday, 6 September 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 26, 47) with the draw of 12 July 2017 — its closest relative in 801 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 September 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 194 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40, 40–41. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 64% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.