Saturday, 2 November 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 25, 26) with the draw of 24 October 2013 — its closest relative in 1,299 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 November 2013): 4 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 94 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.