Thursday, 9 January 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 8, 10, 22) with the draw of 25 February 2019 — its closest relative in 1,018 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 January 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 62% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 71 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 132. No two numbers side by side. 55% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.