Thursday, 21 October 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (10, 25, 34, 38, 40) with the draw of 27 May 2010 — its closest relative in 1,204 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 4.3% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 62% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 159 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 132. No two numbers side by side. 55% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 31% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.