Wednesday, 26 June 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 21, 31, 36) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 December 2023 — its closest relative in 163 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 3.9% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 June 2024): 21 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (14% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 130 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.