Wednesday, 19 December 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 18, 24) with the draw of 23 June 2012 — its closest relative in 281 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 December 2012): 18 carried over. Chance says 58% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 151 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 144. No two numbers side by side. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.