Saturday, 20 July 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 11, 45, 47) with the draw of 23 March 2013 — its closest relative in 342 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 33% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 July 2013): 21 carried over. Chance says 58% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 163 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 144. No two numbers side by side. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.