Saturday, 30 August 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 22, 34) with the draw of 31 July 2013 — its closest relative in 458 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 August 2014): 16 carried over. Chance says 58% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 129 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 144. No two numbers side by side. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.