Sunday, 31 May 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (13, 15, 17, 31) with the draw of 12 September 2016 — its closest relative in 3,700 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 May 2020): 31 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 96 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 80. No two numbers side by side. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.