Friday, 23 May 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 21, 22) with the draw of 30 April 2025 — its closest relative in 134 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 May 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 79 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 88. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11, 21–22. 49% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.