Thursday, 3 July 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (25, 27, 38) with the draw of 14 June 2014 — its closest relative in 1,540 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 July 2014): 25, 38 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 157 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 38 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.