Wednesday, 27 April 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (14, 23, 26, 30) with the draw of 17 November 2012 — its closest relative in 2,202 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 48% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 April 2016): 14 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 98 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.