Tuesday, 26 July 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 8, 16, 21) with the draw of 30 May 2014 — its closest relative in 4,481 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 July 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 75 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.