Wednesday, 21 August 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 15, 17) with the draw of 3 December 2011 — its closest relative in 352 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 August 2013): 17 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 71 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. No two numbers side by side. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.