Wednesday, 25 November 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 36, 37) with the draw of 23 May 2018 — its closest relative in 682 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 November 2020): 37 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 149 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.