Wednesday, 21 February 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 27, 35) with the draw of 17 May 2023 — its closest relative in 1,020 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 February 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 149 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.