Monday, 10 October 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 36, 38) with the draw of 6 October 2016 — its closest relative in 146 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 October 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 133 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.