Wednesday, 16 June 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (6, 34) with the draw of 15 June 2010 — its closest relative in 70 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 June 2010): 6, 34 carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 115 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.