Sunday, 20 June 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 9, 24) with the draw of 15 April 2010 — its closest relative in 74 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 June 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 75 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.