Tuesday, 10 September 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 29, 35) with the draw of 17 July 2013 — its closest relative in 1,242 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 September 2013): 17 carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 127 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.