Saturday, 30 November 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 29, 37, 40) with the draw of 18 May 2010 — its closest relative in 1,323 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 30% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 November 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 135 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.