Monday, 9 April 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (16, 30, 46) with the draw of 28 February 2011 — its closest relative in 236 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 April 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 183 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 45% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.