Thursday, 13 July 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (17, 24, 30, 34) with the draw of 25 September 2014 — its closest relative in 2,326 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 58% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 July 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 138 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.