Monday, 27 May 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 9, 24) with the draw of 23 May 2019 — its closest relative in 3,007 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 May 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 101 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.