Thursday, 11 July 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 5, 7, 8) with the draw of 24 February 2015 — its closest relative in 3,052 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 July 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 32 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.