Sunday, 26 June 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (19, 21, 22, 23) with the draw of 26 December 2019 — its closest relative in 4,133 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 June 2022): 19 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 99 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22, 22–23. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.