Thursday, 6 June 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (17, 21, 25, 26) with the draw of 9 December 2015 — its closest relative in 4,844 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 June 2024): 25 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 112 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.