Monday, 22 September 2025

Its nearest twin

This exact draw has happened before, on 26 May 2015. Chance gave a match this close a 1.2% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2025): 28 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 120 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.