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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Saturday, 18 September 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 22
  3. 23
  4. 34
  5. 37

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 55 of 7,050 under them

← 2021-09-17All recent draws2021-09-19 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 9
    2. 12
    3. 20
    4. 23
    5. 25

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 22 23 34 3729 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd31th
  • low9th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread81th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

46times
227times
2310times
3410times
377times

Every number was expected about that many times after 54 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (22, 34) with the draw of 17 September 2021 — its closest relative in 54 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 September 2021): 22, 34 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

120

The numbers add up to 120 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-18

  • Lines in play≈ 468kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$273.6Kto 53k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 0.81

Where the money went

  • Match 441%$112.7K
  • Match 341%$112.3K
  • Match 218%$48.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 0.81 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4103≈ 138 by chance$1,095
  3. Match 34,236≈ 4.6k by chance$26.50
  4. Match 248,609≈ 49k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈468k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,236 winners, 7% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 50$57,576
Match 4103$1,095
Match 34,236$26.50
Match 248,609$1.00
Totals52,948—