Monday, 29 June 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 29, 32, 49) with the draw of 30 January 2013 — its closest relative in 859 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 57% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 June 2015): 49 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 132 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.