Saturday, 26 November 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 8, 9, 21) with the draw of 2 April 2012 — its closest relative in 1,080 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 66% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 November 2016): 7 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 69 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8, 8–9. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 4.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.