Wednesday, 20 September 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 11, 23, 25) with the draw of 22 May 2017 — its closest relative in 1,208 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 September 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 89 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.