Monday, 10 September 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 26, 35, 37) with the draw of 28 February 2011 — its closest relative in 1,360 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 September 2018): 34, 35 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 178 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 58% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.