Thursday, 6 October 2011

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 17, 28, 31) with the draw of 1 September 2010 — its closest relative in 545 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 15% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 October 2011): 17 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 122 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.